How Much Is A Blaze King

The Intelligent Automata GEAB evaluates the accuracy of his expectations in issue 40

The GEAB evaluates the forecast accuracy in the number 40. Here is the summary.


Eight key expectations of LEAP in 2009

1. asset diversification towards gold (repeated recommendation during the year): 1
2. the insolvent U.S. and the use of the United joined the IMF in the fall of 2009 (GEAB 34): 0
3. the absence of systemic banking risk related to country of Eastern Europe (GEAB 33): 1
4. the output of the global framework Reference past sixty years (GEAB 35): 1
5. the "impossible recovery" of the late 2009 (GEAB 37): 1
6. three rogue waves of summer 2009 (GEAB 36): 0.5
7. the early phase of global geopolitical dislocation late 2009 (GEAB 32): 0.5
8. entry in the 2009 phase Global Insolvency (GEAB 31): 1

Fifteen topics ranging ramp up by late 2009

1. State bankruptcies: 0.5
2. The Very Great Depression U.S.: 1
3. The United Kingdom, sick man of Europe: 0.5
4. The United States, sick man on the planet: 1
5. industry and agriculture as a business essential economic: 1
6. social instability: 0.5
7. Antisemitism in the United States: 0.5
8. The EU-Russia strategic partnership: 0.5
9. Inflation: 0
10. Systems Social protection: 1
11. Regional blocs: 1
12. The Eurozone: 1
13. instability in the Middle East: 1
14. Yen, Yuan, Euro: 1
15. Major financial scandals including a mega-Madoff : 0

Fourteen subjects who vanish during the year 2009

1. Financial services as a pillar of national economy: 1
2. Globalization: 1
3. United States as a global military power: 0.5
4. Brown, Merkel, Sarkozy and Obama: 1
5. The authoritarian modernization to economic Russia and China: 0
6. NATO: 1
7. Corporate profits: 0.5
8. The Dollar, Pound Sterling and the Swiss Franc: 1
9. The Bretton Woods: 0.5
10. The "billionaires": 1
11. The purchasing power of the middle classes: 1
12. U.S. T-bonds: 0.5
13. Economic recovery: 1
14. CDS (Credit Default Swaps): 0

The results of the assessment and conclusion of GEAB

" For this assessment 2009, and reached a total of 26.5 points on 37, 72% success. This is worse than in 2008 (80%), but 2009 has been particularly marked by the unprecedented actions of States (explosion of debt, no consideration to support banks, handling accounting rules, ...) to stem the crisis and often to temporarily hide the consequences. We hope that this score we keep the trust of our customers and our readers. "


GEAB analysis of the reality of the economic recovery

" Failing to occur in 2009, you can be sure it will be the "monster of Loch Ness" Media and Leaders in 2009. They will see it all at the turn of the next quarter or semester. Each week, experts will find in this or that indicator indicates that the early beginning of the end of the crisis is emerging. Do not be fooled. There will be no recovery in 2009 ...
This anticipation was made in January 2009 and was faced with general policies who were just initiated. The one we have reformulated the end of summer 2009 was a direct response to the cries of victory "on the effect of these policies. So these are two fair expectations, on similar themes, but at different times and in different contexts. "