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The GEAB 42 anticipates a sharp increase in the global systemic crisis in the second quarter of 2010

The GEAB 42 February 2010, publication of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) anticipates a " sudden intensification of the global systemic crisis " in the second quarter of 2010 .

Preview the file Outlook GEAB 42:
"
to LEAP/E2020, the effect of thousands billions of dollars spent by states to "weather the storm" will last long. These vast sums had to slow down for a few months the evolution of the global systemic crisis, but, as anticipated in the previous GEABs, this strategy will ultimately served to definitely cause the States in the crisis generated by the institutions Financial. Our team anticipates
is in this GEAB 42 a sudden intensification of the crisis in the second quarter of 2010, caused by a double catch-up effect of the phenomena which have been temporarily "frozen" in the second half of 2009 and the impossibility to maintain affirmative action last year.

[...]

The sudden intensification of the global systemic crisis will be characterized by an acceleration and / or strengthening of five fundamental negative trends:

• the bubble burst of public deficits and the corresponding increase in defaults States
• the fatal collision of the Western banking system with rising defaults and the wall of debt maturing
• the inevitable rise in interest rates
• multiplication subjects of international tension
• growing social insecurity.

"

Read here on the site of LEAP.

Updated: There seems to be a mistranslation in the French title is that expectations in the 2nd quarter 2010 . The English section indicates the 2nd half 2010. The English section is here: Second Half of 2010: Sudden increase overall systemic crisis Of The .